The race for Premier League survival - who will go down?published at 14:27 GMT 16 March
14:27 GMT 16 March
It is the business end of the season and the race to stay in the Premier League is getting more tense.
With Opta giving Burnley and Wolves just a 0.35% and 0.07% chance of survival respectively and Crystal Palace a 0.08% chance of going down, it looks like it is a fight between four teams to avoid the remaining relegation spot.
Just three points separate West Ham in 18th and Leeds in 15th, with only goal difference currently keeping the Hammers in the drop zone.
Opta's supercomputer has been running the scenarios and providing the percentage chance of Leeds, Tottenham, Nottingham Forest and West Ham finishing in 18th place.
At 6.36%, Leeds are currently predicted to have the best chance of staying in the top flight in their first season back, while bottom-of-the-form-table Tottenham - who are just one point ahead Forest and West Ham - have been given a 13.03% likelihood of being in that third relegation spot come the end of the campaign.
Things look a bit more worrying for Vitor Pereira's Forest and Nuno Espirito Santo's West Ham with a 32.85% and 45% chance respectively.
As Spurs and Forest face each other in a crucial match this Sunday, the picture could yet look a whole lot different heading into the international break next week.
Do you agree with the supercomputer? Who do you think of those four teams is most likely to go down?
Nottingham Forest 0-0 Fulham - the fans' verdictpublished at 11:59 GMT 16 March
11:59 GMT 16 March
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We asked for your thoughts after Sunday's Premier League game between Nottingham Forest and Fulham.
Here are some of your comments:
Nottingham Forest fans
Steve: Another weekend where we failed to capitalise on other results. It's going to be a scrap to the final day. VAR is killing football- the joy of that goal wiped out. Onto Denmark for what I hope isn't our last EL game but we all know Spurs is the bigger game.
Luke: At this point in the season we are what we are. A team who plays well but struggles to score, and therefore won't win often. That's what we were today. You can still look at this performance and use it to suggest we'll pick up 8-10 points over the last 8 games. But our chances to do so are diminishing. Next week is huge.
Marc: Another dismal and disappointing result. Completely devoid of creativity and intensity. No real desire to make something happen to in the final few minutes. Must play the back up players in Europa League as for some reason our players have a lack of energy to play at tempo that is going to challenge opponents for 90 minutes despite having no domestic cup run. Another uninspired managerial appointment.
David: We have to find our goal scorers and asap. We are playing with fire, and we all know what's going to happen. Oh, and VAR has to go!
Fulham fans
Gerry: Typical mid season mediocrity from Fulham. Another season that promised much but that again has petered out into dull, predictable football.
Malcolm: Much better performance all round, more effort and a solid line up.
Tim: Classic Fulham going into our shells around March, Marco ruined all momentum with silly changes against West Ham and Southampton, and now we're suffering with another lacklustre performance.
Phil: Poor. Not sharp enough. Have the players booked their summer holidays already?
Nottingham Forest 0-0 Fulham: What Pereira saidpublished at 17:08 GMT 15 March
17:08 GMT 15 March
Media caption,
Nottingham Forest boss Vitor Pereira, speaking to Sky Sports after their goalless draw with Fulham: "Very happy with my players, we gave everything on the pitch. Happy with our supporters, they tried to help us until the end. The spirit of the team and the players from the bench. This is not a speed race, this is a marathon until the end. This was a chance to get the three points but the next game is another chance.
"We needed to refresh the team to put more energy in. They are players who are strong one-on-one. Dan Ndoye is fast in the space and Taiwo was fantastic. This is the spirit I want to see in my players.
"I like wingers one against one. They are players who can be danger players. Morgan Gibbs-White is more of a player to play inside and play between the lines. They have different skills.
"We played three days ago, raining, heavy pitch and today they try everything to get three points. The result is difficult to control but we can control what we do on the pitch or we can show the spirit to win the game. I am happy with them.
"It will be tough until the end. The decision will be at the end I think. I hope we can get points to escape the relegation zone. Tottenham, West Ham, and Leeds are good teams."
Nottingham Forest have now failed to win any of their last seven Premier League home matches (D4 L3) since a 3-0 win against Tottenham Hotspur in December 2025 under Sean Dyche. This is their longest run without a victory at the City Ground in the top flight since a run of 16 between September 1998 and April 1999, in a season in which they were ultimately relegated.
Analysis: Another attacking blank for Forestpublished at 16:31 GMT 15 March
16:31 GMT 15 March
Phil Cartwright BBC Sport journalist
Image source, PA Media
Before this round of Premier League fixtures, Nottingham Forest were ranked in the top 10 for attempts on target, but only Wolves (22) had scored fewer than their tally of 28.
Despite an improved second-half display in the 0-0 draw against Fulham, they drew a blank for the 14th time in 30 league outings this term.
They had been limited to long-range efforts in the first half, with Fulham goalkeeper Bernd Leno comfortably dealing with shots from outside the box by Morgan Gibbs-White and Nicolas Dominguez.
The introductions of Dan Ndoye and Omari Hutchinson at half-time had the desired positive impact and, on the balance of play after the break, probably should have taken all three points.
The two offside decisions against Ndoye - which could have resulted in a penalty and a goal for Forest - were very close calls, while Ola Aina's superb attempt that hit the crossbar was only a couple of inches off target.
Forest are now seven games without a Premier League win and their next league opponents are Tottenham on 22 March, in what could prove to be a critical game for both sides' survival hopes.
Nottingham Forest v Fulham: Team newspublished at 13:17 GMT 15 March
13:17 GMT 15 March
Nottingham Forest make three changes from the side that lost in the Europa League to Midtjylland on Thursday - Neco Williams, Nikola Milenkovic and Ibrahim Sangare replace Morato, Jair Cunha and Omari Hutchinson.
There are nine changes to the Fulham starting XI that was knocked out of the FA Cup last weekend by Southampton. Joachim Andersen and Oscar Bobb are the two players to keep their places.
You can also listen to today's 5 Live Premier League commentaries on most smart speakers. Just say "ask BBC Sounds to play Crystal Palace v Leeds" or "ask BBC Sounds to play Liverpool v Spurs", for instance.
Sutton's predictions: Nottingham Forest v Fulhampublished at 10:48 GMT 15 March
10:48 GMT 15 March
This is a huge game for Nottingham Forest.
They got a good draw against Manchester City last time out, but what they need is a win - I know I keep pointing this out, but Forest boss Vitor Pereira still hasn't won a Premier League game this season, after 11 attempts with them and Wolves.
This is a great chance for Forest to put that right, but I don't think they will take it.
You just don't know what you are going to get from Fulham but they can play with a bit of freedom here.
Nottingham Forest v Fulham: Key stats and talking pointspublished at 13:45 GMT 14 March
13:45 GMT 14 March
Tom McCoy BBC Sport journalist
Relegation-threatened Nottingham Forest take on a Fulham side seeking to avoid a third straight defeat. BBC Sport examines some of the key themes before Sunday's match (14:00 GMT).
Anderson key to Forest's survival hopes
Nottingham Forest remain winless under Vitor Pereira following Thursday's 1-0 defeat by Midtjylland. The Reds spurned a host of chances against the Danes, failing to build on the momentum from last week's 2-2 draw at Manchester City, which gave them their first league point under the new head coach.
Pereira said his team showed "lots of personality" in twice hitting back from a goal down against City and praised his players for keeping their shape and "waiting for the right moments to hurt" Pep Guardiola's men.
Forest have lacked cutting edge this season, with their tally of 28 goals the second lowest in the top flight. Last year's top scorer, Chris Wood, has missed most of the campaign with a knee injury and while his replacement, Igor Jesus, has shown promise in the cups, he has scored just twice in the league.
Goals will, therefore, need to come from elsewhere, and it was Morgan Gibbs-White and Elliot Anderson who stepped up at Etihad Stadium.
Anderson has not been a regular goalscorer for Forest, netting four times in 66 Premier League appearances for the club, but he has earned plaudits for his all-round game, particularly his crisp passing. He has made 303 line-breaking passes – forward balls that bypass the opposition's midfield or defensive line to find a team-mate in space. That is more than any other midfielder in the Premier League this season.
Fulham look to rebound against favourite opposition
After back-to-back home defeats by West Ham and Southampton, Fulham need a swift response to stop their season petering out. That was their fate last year, when a disappointing FA Cup loss to Crystal Palace at Craven Cottage was followed by six losses in their final nine league games, scuppering any hopes of challenging for Europe.
Head coach Marco Silva admitted his side simply were not good enough in Sunday's cup exit to Championship side Southampton and had to defend his decision to make nine changes to the starting line-up.
The good news for Fulham is key man Harry Wilson could return after missing the previous two games, while the Whites can also take heart from their excellent record in this fixture. The Cottagers have won six of the seven Premier League meetings between the sides, including a 1-0 victory when they met on 22 December.
Raul Jimenez scored the winner from the penalty spot on that occasion and has regularly been a thorn in Forest's side. The Mexican has registered four goals and an assist in four previous appearances against Sunday's opponents.
How is relegation battle looking?published at 17:31 GMT 13 March
17:31 GMT 13 March
Chris Collinson BBC Sport statistician
In the battle at the bottom, Wolves and Burnley are all but down barring a footballing miracle, which leaves one spot that is likely to be filled by one of Leeds, Tottenham, Nottingham Forest and West Ham.
With the most points on the board already, Leeds have the kindest run-in on paper, with just one game against a side from the top six (Manchester United on 13 April) and home games against both of the bottom two.
Meanwhile, it would seem like West Ham are the most likely to be relegated as not only do they currently sit in the bottom three, they also have the toughest run-in of the four sides.
However, the reason why Tottenham and Nottingham Forest fans have reason to be nervous is that the Hammers' performances have improved considerably under Nuno Espirito Santo's guidance in recent weeks.
Only four Premier League teams have taken more points from their past eight games than the east Londoners (14) and only four teams have a higher expected goal difference in that time, suggesting the upturn has not been down to luck.
🎧How bad is Forest's goal record?published at 17:21 GMT 13 March
17:21 GMT 13 March
The team at BBC Radio Nottingham's Shut Up And Show More Football podcast have been digging into the shooting stats for Forest this season.
Commentator Colin Fray has pointed to some alarming statistics and improving them could prove critical in the fight to stay in the Premier League.
Forest have had 89 shots at goal in their last five home Premier League games, scoring once.
Fray explained: "Do you count that as a chance? Most stats people would say no - there's a shot and a chance. The chance number will always be lower.
"But I think it always highlights the fact Forest are not converting opportunities in the game into chances.
"Yes it's about missing shots and chances if they are creating them but it's also about the chance to create more.
"The stats show where the problems have been this season. They have had a lot of problems on and off the pitch.
"They have 13 home goals in 14 Premier League games. Only one in the last five - the 1-1 draw with Crystal Palace. Within those five, 89 shots on goal, 19 of which on target. That's 70 off target across those five games and only one goal scored.
"One of the alarming stats - 13 home goals is the lowest in the league. With away goals added - 28 in total - it's the second lowest in the league.
"Even more alarming, of the 13 goals they have at home this season, nine have come in three games. Which means that across the other 11, they have only scored four. From 14 games, they have returned eight blanks. There are all sorts of stats that show where some of Forest's problems have been this season."
Pereira on 'spirit', getting points 'everywhere' and facing Fulhampublished at 12:43 GMT 13 March
12:43 GMT 13 March
Nicola Pearson BBC Sport journalist
Nottingham Forest boss Vitor Pereira has been speaking to BBC Radio Nottingham before Sunday's Premier League game against Fulham at The City Ground (kick-off 14:00 GMT).
Here are the key lines from Pereira's news conference:
Pereira acknowledged it will be "a tough game" on Sunday after their midweek defeat, but added: "Now it's time to recover, time to prepare, keeping the spirit of the players, keeping in the mentality and tactically try to prepare in the best way this game."
On the pattern of Forest losing matches or dropping points after a good result: "You know, in football we can control what we do, our efforts, our energy, what we put on the pitch. But the result, sometimes football is not fair, it's not fair, but we must be strong inside to react and to come again. I will keep this spirit in my team for sure."
He continued: "Next game, we will try everything to win the game. Some corrections, of course, we need to do it, but keeping the spirit, keeping the mentality because the players they did everything to win the last game [against Midtjylland]. We are losing 1-0 in half time, now it's time to put our focus in the league game against Fulham."
Capitalising on home advantage is "important", but Pereira says they "proved in the last game against [Manchester] City that we can get points everywhere, everywhere". Pereira added: "With the spirit that I see in my players and with the organisation, we believe we can get points everywhere. But we play home in front of our supporters and we need a win. We need a win to celebrate with them."
On opponents Fulham and Portuguese compatriot Marco Silva: "I know him very well. He's doing fantastic work in the Premier League. He has been with this club for a long time. It means it's a different situation between him and me. But now I believe that we can compete and we can compete for the three points"
The Forest boss continued: "Now it's time to clean our minds, to rest, recover and be ready in three days to fight again, to fight with our qualities."
Nottingham Forest 0-1 Midtjylland - the fans' verdictpublished at 08:18 GMT 13 March
08:18 GMT 13 March
Image source, Getty Images
We asked for your thoughts after Thursday's Europa League last-16 first leg beteen Nottingham Forest and Midtjylland.
Here are some of your comments:
Sean: A common theme of our season, regardless of manager, has been that we have been really good to watch, with great attacking play, at times, but we can't take our chances. It's not acceptable any more. We need to score, or we win nothing and we go down. The amount of passes we had in their penalty area without getting a shot away, when it would have been simpler to shoot, is nothing short of ridiculous. You could make a case for poor conditions, but Midtjylland had the same conditions and they took their chance. We need to be more clinical. Take note, Ange... I mean, Sean... I mean, Vitor!
Jonathan: That sums up our season. Even when we play well, there aren't enough goals in the team. Poor defending gives away a free header and a game we dominated is lost.
Tim: Three months since Forest won at home, so wasn't expecting much. We aren't great when teams sit back and let us have the ball. Might do better at their place, but now they can sit back there too. Fulham will do the same on Sunday, which doesn't bode well.
Gaz: Moved the ball too slowly and toothless up front. That's exactly the type of performance that's got us into this situation in the league. Far too inconsistent. And Morato, I'm sorry to say, is a liability.
Ian: Hard luck actually - we played very well and we just needed a bit of luck. No complaints with team selection or substitutions as we needed to give rest to some players. We are certainly playing well enough so keep it going - the tide will turn!
Forest analysis: Positives to take in defeatpublished at 22:49 GMT 12 March
22:49 GMT 12 March
Bobbie Jackson BBC Sport Journalist
Image source, Getty Images
Vitor Pereira became Forest's fourth manager of the season in February when he was parachuted in to rescue them from a relegation battle, with progress in Europe regarded as a bonus.
The Portuguese hit the ground running with a win over Fenerbahce in his first game but has been unable to build further momentum - failing to win any of the following five matches across all competitions.
He had eight days to prepare his players for the last-16 first leg following a 2-2 draw against Manchester City in their previous game and their performance, if not the result, suggested that additional training time has been beneficial.
Forest played with confidence that defied the fact they have won just one of their last eight games in all competitions - but ultimately they left the field with a familiar feeling of frustration.
Elliot Anderson was the standout performer and looked every part the player he did when helping Forest to qualify for Europe last season.
Morgan Gibbs-White was full of energy and Omari Hutchinson - brought in as one of three changes from the draw at City - also caught the eye.
Midtjylland, who beat Forest 3-2 in the league phase of the competition and finished third in the overall standings, were happy to play on the counter-attack and had several warnings from the referee for time-wasting.
The Danish side rode their luck but took their opportunity when it arrived with impressive ruthlessness while Forest - who had 22 attempts at goal - had nothing to show from a dominant performance.
Nottingham Forest 0-1 Midtjylland: What Pereira saidpublished at 22:35 GMT 12 March
22:35 GMT 12 March
Media caption,
Nottingham Forest manager Vítor Pereira, speaking to TNT Sports after the 1-0 defeat by Midtjylland: "It is difficult to explain. We created so many chances to score. Even if we did draw, it would not have been fair. They had two chances, and they scored. But we had enough time and the game was there. We had the quality to win."
On Midtjylland's threat: "We did everything we could to score. We were just missing the goals. It is frustrating that we did not score. But I am happy with my players and the supporters and we will try to keep the spirit and prepare for our next games."
On preparing players: "Even the rain played against us! We created good dynamics and chances to score, but the rain came and it was difficult. We will keep the spirits and go next time with the mentality to win the game."
On next steps: "Now is time to rest and recover, and then compete for three points against Fulham. We will be ready in three days."
Nottingham Forest v Midtjylland: Team newspublished at 19:11 GMT 12 March
19:11 GMT 12 March
Vitor Pereira makes three changes to the Nottingham Forest side that drew 2-2 at Manchester City in the Premier League eight days ago.
Morato, Callum Hudson-Odoi and Omari Hutchinson come into the starting eleven with Nikola Milkenkovic, Ibrahim Sangare and Neco Williams dropping to the bench.
